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20121027
20121104
Search Results 0 to 8 of about 9 (some duplicates have been removed)
the popular vote by one point and obama wins ohio and iowa by one point that is possible, maybe a one or two-point shift but there is almost no way to look at the history of this country or try to do the more complex things, the mathematical models unlikely to have romney win the popular and have him lose the electorial college. >> rose: the sites and sounds of hurricane sandy, mark halperin and nate silver when we continue. funding for charlie rose was provided by the following. additional funding provided by these funders. and by bloomberg, a provider of multimedia news and information services worldwide. captioning sponsored by rose communications from our studios in new york city, this is charlie rose. >> hurricane sandy barreled through the northeast last night, the devastating impact was wide-ranging, cities and towns were hammered by the storm that left many without power and other vital resources. here are some of the sights and sound of the storm as scene on cbs this morning. we knew this was going to be a very dangerous storm and the storm has met our expectations. >> it is underas
, but -- >> then why a are polls all over the place? not every poll has obama winning in ohio. >> first if you look at the whole group of polls we have a two-point romney lead to a five or six-point obama lead, the average is going to do better a than any one poll individual think, polling is difficult now, because you can only get about ten percent of people on the money, polls are hoping that those people who they do get are representative of the ones whom they don't get, different views about who will turn out and who won't, about the, differ on the democrat grafnls and statistical uncertainty as well. >> depending on the model the poll uses will affect the result. >> a different hype these almost. >> .. if you assume a more vigorous turnout because obama has good ground game for example those have him winning, no more at that like opportunity thousand ten environment where republican enthusiasm prevail they have a very tight in ohio instead. >> rose: okay. but do you say when you look at all of these polls, i have noted you are a statistician, you noted in the polling you measure other polls? >
. women in swing states in ohio is not soa which much -- so has obama. but really come ahead in ohio 5 pointsad ahead in ohio. >> and the electoral college which as of late this week, "the new york times" blog on the electoral college was showing obama at 290 and romney is 217. the crucial swing women voters in swing states, whose side are they going to come down on and why? game.s a ground i don't think the republican comments help the republican party in that way. at the same time, it's going to be about -- it's who do we trust? the ads i would like to see -- the grounds game the getting out the vote. >> that's right. whether this franken storm effects it -- i would like to see ads of doing dishes and taking care of my baby. that's what would win my vote. >> let's talk about what has moved some swing women. it was the first debate appearance from governor rick r. he was excellent. that evente gave a lot of swing voters permission to support romney someone who they now see as an alternative. >> that's right. no women's issues were raised in that first debate. when we saw in the second
on of the most critical battlegrounds, the midwestern state of ohio. incredibly, having come from behind, mitt romney is now neck- and-neck with barack obama in many of the crucial swing states. these romney supporters, with little more than a week ago, are beginning to claim victory. in contrast, mr. obama in washington yesterday was burdened with double trouble, faced with a desperately tight election race, but now some campaign plans disrupted by the need to leave the nature -- -- lead the nation through the weather emergency. at least it is a chance to look and sound presidential. with just a week ago and the race in a dead heat, no campaign stunt is too much trouble, even for the wives of the candidates. michelle obama on a tv comedy show literally getting the votes out early, to give the democrats the advantage. and ann romney appealing to the undecided women voters that republicans want to win over. no one really knows what tactics will make a difference. indeed ate swing states that will decide this election, that is. -- in the 8 swing states that will decide the election. >> this is
can't break through in ohio. then there is another argument that says advertisements don't stick with you very long is so all that money that was spent over the summer by the obama campaign didn't stick. and so now the money that is being spent in these last minutes by the romney campaign will stick because, they're reaching low information, undecided voters who are just now tune approximating in. they don't watch the news a lot. they get their messages now as they start to think here comes the election. they see an ad, that forms their opinions. off they go to the polls. >> rose: looking at your analysis, what do you worry about that you might have missed or might be wrong, you and others. >> two big things we could have missed. one, is the is is that romney has more than we think he does. that there is a group not getting caught in the polls that he's got support that is not showing up in all of these polls. >> rose: a silent majority. >> a silent majority. that is just a worry because you don't know. we trust in polls and the polls have shown a certain thing. you always think
Search Results 0 to 8 of about 9 (some duplicates have been removed)